1 Hour Trading Strategy: Using Hourly Cycles to Enter When Daily Trends Pullback
- Jul 25
- 9 min read
Daily charts reveal the trend, but they rarely show you the perfect entry. That's where most traders stumble - they see a bullish daily setup but either chase after price has already run or wait so long for the "perfect" moment that they miss the move entirely. The solution isn't found in the daily timeframe; it's hidden in the hourly cycles that most traders ignore.
This 1 hour trading strategy bridges the gap between knowing where the market is headed and knowing exactly when to get in. At Market Turning Points, we use hourly Visualizer charts to pinpoint precise entry moments when daily trends experience temporary pullbacks. It's not about trading the hourly timeframe - it's about using hourly precision to optimize daily trend entries.
The difference this makes is profound. Instead of buying into strength and watching price immediately pull back, or waiting for breakouts that never come, you enter during intraday weakness while the daily trend remains intact. This article reveals how to use hourly cycles for tactical entries, why correlation above 80% is non-negotiable, and how this approach transforms your risk-reward on every trade.
The Daily-Hourly Relationship
Understanding the relationship between daily and hourly timeframes is crucial for this 1 hour trading strategy. The daily chart sets your directional bias - it tells you whether to be bullish or bearish. But daily charts paint with broad strokes. A single daily candle contains an entire day's worth of price action, hiding the optimal entry points within its range.
Hourly charts reveal what daily charts conceal. Within a bullish daily trend, hourly cycles oscillate between overbought and oversold conditions multiple times. Each hourly cycle dip represents a potential entry opportunity - a chance to join the daily trend at a discount rather than chasing extended prices. The key is recognizing that these hourly pullbacks are temporary pauses, not trend changes.
Right now, our Visualizer charts show summed cycle projections on the daily timeframe rising through late July, with the next upswing extending into early August. This gives us the directional framework. But within this bullish bias, hourly cycles will dip several times, creating the precise entry windows we seek. This 1 hour trading strategy capitalizes on these micro-corrections within macro-trends. Check our post on Bullish Continuation Patterns That Align with Intermediate Cycle Timing for more info.
Identifying Hourly Entry Signals
The mechanics of this 1 hour trading strategy center on specific hourly indicators that signal entry opportunities. The DPO (Detrended Price Oscillator) strips out the trend component, showing pure cyclical movement. When the hourly DPO dips while the daily trend remains up, you're seeing temporary weakness within strength - exactly what we want for entries.
The summed cycle projection includes trend, providing a different perspective. When both the DPO and summed cycle show hourly dips simultaneously, the signal strengthens considerably. These dips often align with key support levels - the 3/5 and 4/7 crossover averages or the lower edge of the price channel. This confluence of cycle timing and price structure creates the highest probability entry zones.
What makes this approach powerful is its systematic nature. Instead of guessing whether a pullback is buyable, you wait for hourly cycles to reach oversold conditions within the context of a rising daily trend. You're not trying to catch falling knives or predict bottoms - you're identifying where cyclical pressure is likely to ease and momentum should turn up again, rejoining the daily trend.
The 80% Correlation Rule
No 1 hour trading strategy works without quality control, and correlation is our filter. The Visualizer correlation must remain above 80% on both the 40 and 100 bar lookback periods. This isn't an arbitrary number - it's the threshold where cycle projections reliably track actual price movement. Below 80%, you're gambling; above it, you have a statistical edge.
High correlation confirms that recent market behavior aligns with the cycle model's projections. Markets change character - sometimes they're trending smoothly, other times they're choppy and news-driven. When correlation drops, it signals that current market behavior has diverged from the patterns the model expects. That's your cue to step aside or find a different symbol with cleaner patterns.
This rule saves you from the biggest trading mistake: forcing trades when your edge has disappeared. If cycles show a perfect hourly entry setup but correlation sits at 65%, skip it. The risk isn't worth it. Wait for correlation to improve or switch to a market where cycles are working. This discipline is what separates systematic traders from gamblers.

Managing Risk with Crossover Support
Risk management in this 1 hour trading strategy goes beyond simple stop losses. The crossover averages - particularly the 3/5 and 4/7 combinations - serve as dynamic support levels that adapt to market conditions. When hourly cycles dip and price touches these averages, you have a clearly defined risk point.
The beauty of using crossover support is its objectivity. You're not guessing where to place stops or hoping price holds arbitrary levels. If price bounces off the crossover average as hourly cycles turn up, your entry is confirmed. If price breaks below with conviction, your stop triggers with minimal damage. This creates the asymmetric risk-reward that makes the strategy profitable over time.
Always confirm the turn before entering. Just because hourly cycles reach oversold doesn't guarantee an immediate bounce. Wait for price to react positively to crossover support, showing that buyers are indeed stepping in. When both price action and cycle timing agree, you have the strongest signal. This patience prevents premature entries that get stopped out before the real turn. Check our post on Swing Trading Indicators: The Only Three That Matter for Timing and Clarity for more info.
Avoiding Emotional Trading Traps
The psychological benefits of this 1 hour trading strategy are as important as the technical ones. By following systematic rules - daily trend up, hourly cycle dip, correlation above 80%, support holding - you remove emotion from the equation. You're not reacting to fear when price drops or greed when it rises; you're following a process.
Most traders fail because they buy too early in pullbacks (catching falling knives) or too late after recovery (chasing strength). This strategy positions you perfectly in between. You wait for hourly cycles to signal the pullback is mature, but you enter before the obvious recovery that brings in the crowd. This timing advantage comes from trusting cycles over emotions.
The discipline to skip low-correlation setups is particularly important. When markets get news-driven or unusually volatile, correlation drops and cycles become less reliable. Many traders try to force trades anyway, believing they can outsmart the market. The 1 hour trading strategy works precisely because it respects when conditions aren't favorable and waits for clarity to return.
Real-Time Application
Let's apply this 1 hour trading strategy to current market conditions. With daily cycles projecting rises through late July and into early August, we have our bullish framework. Now we monitor hourly charts for execution opportunities. When the hourly DPO drops toward oversold territory while the summed cycle also dips, we prepare for potential entry.
We then check correlation - is it above 80% on both timeframes? If yes, we proceed. If no, we wait. Assuming correlation is strong, we watch for price to approach the 3/5 or 4/7 crossover averages. As price touches support and hourly cycles begin turning up from oversold, we look for the first positive reaction - a bounce, a reversal candle, or simply price holding support for multiple hours.
Entry comes on confirmation of the turn, with stops below the crossover average that provided support. The target isn't an hourly move but rather participation in the continued daily trend. This patient, systematic approach means fewer trades but higher quality setups with better risk-reward ratios. You're trading smarter, not harder. Check our post on TQQQ Trading Strategy with Cycle Context: Smarter Entries, Better Outcomes for more info.
What People Also Ask About 1 Hour Trading Strategy
What is a 1 hour trading strategy?
A 1 hour trading strategy uses hourly chart analysis to make trading decisions. In our approach, it specifically means using hourly cycles to time entries into daily trends, not trading the hourly timeframe itself. The strategy identifies when hourly indicators show oversold conditions within bullish daily trends, creating low-risk entry opportunities for position trades.
This differs from day trading where positions are closed within hours. Our 1 hour trading strategy uses hourly precision to enter trades that align with daily and weekly trends, holding for days or weeks as the larger trend unfolds.
How do you combine different timeframes in trading?
Successful multi-timeframe analysis uses longer timeframes for direction and shorter timeframes for timing. The daily chart determines whether you should be bullish or bearish - this is your strategic framework. The hourly chart then provides tactical entry points within that strategic bias.
The key is hierarchical thinking: the longer timeframe always takes precedence. If daily cycles are bearish, you don't buy hourly oversold conditions. You only use hourly cycles to enter in the direction of the daily trend, ensuring alignment between tactics and strategy.
What is the 80% correlation rule?
The 80% correlation rule requires that cycle projections maintain at least 80% correlation with actual price movement over both 40 and 100 bar lookback periods. This threshold ensures the cycle model accurately tracks current market behavior. Below 80%, the model's projections become unreliable.
Think of correlation as a quality score for your signals. High correlation means the market is behaving in ways the model understands and can predict. Low correlation indicates unusual market conditions where cycle analysis loses its edge. Respecting this rule keeps you out of low-probability trades.
How do you confirm entry signals?
Entry confirmation requires multiple factors aligning: hourly cycles reaching oversold, price touching dynamic support (crossover averages), and correlation exceeding 80%. The final confirmation comes from price action - a bounce off support or reversal pattern as cycles turn up.
Never enter on cycle signals alone. Wait for price to validate what cycles suggest. This might mean missing the absolute bottom, but it dramatically reduces false signals and failed trades. The goal isn't perfection; it's consistency and positive expectancy.
When should you avoid hourly trading setups?
Avoid hourly setups when daily trends are unclear, correlation drops below 80%, or markets become news-driven and erratic. Also skip setups where support levels are far from current price, as this increases risk without improving reward.
The best traders know when not to trade. If conditions aren't ideal - correlation is marginal, trends are muddy, or volatility is extreme - waiting is the profitable choice. The 1 hour trading strategy works because it's selective, not because it finds trades every day.
Resolution to the Problem
The core problem traders face is the gap between recognizing good daily setups and knowing when to enter them. They see bullish trends but either enter too early during pullbacks or too late after extensions. This 1 hour trading strategy bridges that gap by providing a systematic method for timing entries using hourly cycles.
The resolution comes from understanding that timeframes complement rather than compete. Daily charts provide direction; hourly charts provide precision. By waiting for hourly oversold conditions within daily uptrends, confirmed by high correlation and support levels, traders can enter with defined risk and aligned with the larger trend.
Stop trying to perfect entries using daily charts alone. Start using hourly cycles to identify when temporary weakness creates opportunity within established trends. This approach reduces emotional decision-making, improves risk-reward ratios, and aligns your entries with both time and price. The precision difference transforms mediocre results into consistent profits.
Join Market Turning Points
Ready to master the 1 hour trading strategy that turns daily trends into precise entry opportunities? Market Turning Points provides the exact Visualizer charts and correlation metrics you need to time entries like a professional. You'll learn to spot hourly cycle dips, confirm with crossover support, and enter trends with minimal risk.
Our system shows you exactly when hourly weakness creates opportunity within daily strength. No more guessing about pullback entries or chasing extended moves. You'll see correlation scores, cycle projections, and support levels all in one place, making execution systematic and stress-free.
Start using hourly precision for daily profits at Market Turning Points. Get access to real-time Visualizer charts, correlation tracking, and learn why timing beats guessing every time.
Conclusion
The 1 hour trading strategy revealed here solves one of trading's persistent challenges: when to enter established trends. By using hourly cycles to identify temporary weakness within daily strength, traders can position themselves with precision rather than hope. The key is respecting the hierarchy - daily for direction, hourly for timing.
Success requires discipline: maintaining 80% correlation standards, waiting for cycle and price confirmation, and skipping suboptimal setups. This systematic approach removes emotion and creates repeatable results. You're not day trading the hourly chart; you're using hourly precision to optimize position trades.
The markets reward patience and precision over frequency and excitement. Master this 1 hour trading strategy, and you'll find yourself entering trends at better prices with lower risk. The daily chart shows you where to go; the hourly chart shows you when to go there. That timing edge makes all the difference.
Author, Steve Swanson
