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More Profit From Corrections

August 9, 2018

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August 9, 2018


I’m often asked what are my long term projections for the markets. My reply is, “You don’t want to know.”  Why? Because if you use a long term forecast as your method of holding a position until that target is reached, you’ll probab...

July 1, 2018

The U.S. hasn’t exactly excelled in the field of mathematics when measured by the average Joe. But that doesn’t mean there are not insightful scientists that use mathematical analysis to solve some of the world’s more vexing problems.

Consider that the National Center...

February 8, 2014

The important fundamental 38 day cycle has just bottomed, and that almost always coincides with an intermediate advance. During a longer term bull market, that advance will last between 4-6 weeks and can add 10-20% gains.


Here's a list of the important signs we fo...

February 3, 2014

Our INVERSE ETF trades were up again today as the intermediate term slide continued.


The DXD was up 3.98% on the day, and better than 12% since our cycles were telling us the intermediate top had formed mid-January.


The downside should find support at the S&P 200 day a...

January 27, 2014

This morning I recieved an email from a very aggressive group that bombards investors with all kinds of silver bullet recommendations.


Today it was for a new fund SYLD.


They always make a convincing case about why their recommendations are superior. But as always, if y...

January 15, 2014

Here we are in 2014, just 5 years from the infamous 2008-2009 market crash bottom. The question on everyone's mind is, "Are we there yet?"


The "there" they refer to of course, is another market top, similar to those of 2000 and 2008. In both cases, those tops were foll...

January 8, 2014

Commentary - January 8, 2014


How good is Warren Buffet in the market? Actually, his performance is quite average.


Look at the chart above that compares Berkshire to the broad markets for 2013, and then tell me if I'm missing something: So yes, BRK.A (white line) did a...

December 18, 2013

On Monday, Dec 16,2013 we wrote about cycles that were bottoming and a market that should turn bullish in the second half of December. (Today, Dec 18, it all came true):



In the case of the market, it's a pretty sure bet the markets have landed and that the...

December 9, 2013

...The strong short term/momentum cycle move on Friday pushed indices right back above their 5 day averages. The powerful recovery move is in keeping with our expectation that the recent intermediate weakness was turining out to be more of a dip than a drop - especiall...

December 7, 2013

I've been saying over the past week that a red warning bar on our Combined chart almost always appears just ahead of the cyclical low on the fundamental frequency - which in this case is 39 days. A couple days ago it appeared on the Dow, yesterday it appeared on the SP...

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