Market Turning Points - 2026

A one-day bounce does not a new trend make. Prices rallied because short-term timing required relief, not because intermediate cycles earned a reversal. Long-term cycles are weaker, no longer providing upward thrust. Intermediate cycles remain in decline. Until they turn decisively higher and price reclaims dominant structure, rallies should be treated as tactical, not directional. The dead cat bounce becomes real only when cycles earn it.

Markets are working through a reset, not a bottoming resolution yet. Relief rallies will occur but should not be confused with the durable low still forming. A market bottom requires time reaching the cycle window, momentum turning positive, and structure confirming higher lows. The February 13-17 window is where probability shifts back to buyers. Buy stops remain the right tool. Patience until alignment. Execution when confirmed.

Markets bounced, tempting traders to jump in. This tactical trading post setup shows why patience wins when short-term cycles turn up but intermediate cycles keep rolling over. Without alignment, rallies stall at resistance. Risk stays elevated until the February 2-12 window completes and cycles realign for higher-probability opportunities.