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Professional Stock Market Forecasts Since 1998
Market Turning Points - 2026


What Causes a Stock Market Crash? It's Not the Debt, It's Who Stops Buying
A record margin debt headline sends the same shiver through the market every time, along with comparisons to 1929, 2000, and 2008. But margin debt is a measure of confidence, not a trigger. It has been high during major tops and during years of healthy bull markets alike. What actually causes a stock market crash is quieter and harder to see on a headline: the moment institutional money stops flowing in. This article separates the popular scapegoats from the real mechanism be
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Jul 212 min read


Margin Debt Record $1.18 Trillion Marks Elevated Risk Before Fed Decision
Margin debt record $1.18 trillion marks elevated risk before Fed decision as traders press hard using borrowed money rather than controlled leverage. Every major margin surge from 2000 dot-com peak to 2008 financial crisis followed by rapid painful unwind driving bear declines. Margin has no mercy forcing exits when brokers decide. Leveraged ETFs provide alternative offering amplified participation without forced liquidation risk maintaining complete control over timing.
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Dec 8, 202510 min read
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