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Professional Stock Market Forecasts Since 1998
Market Turning Points - 2026


Market Liquidity Does Not Change the Cycle, but It Changes What a Move Costs You
Market liquidity is how much can be bought or sold near the current price without moving it. When it thins, the same order walks the price away from you while it fills, and that gap is a cost. What it does not do is change the cycle. This article covers why thin liquidity makes moves sharper both ways, why the directional read holds, and what does change: order placement and how much a brief move proves. On May 6, 2010 the Dow fell 998.5 points and gave most of it back within
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Oct 610 min read


Breakout Trading Is a Trigger, Not a Signal, and Cycle Position Decides Which One You Get
Breakout trading treats a price event as a signal when it is only a trigger. The clearing motion looks identical before advances that run for months and reversals that give it all back within a week. What separates them is cycle position: whether cycles sit near their projected lows, whether enough selling has happened, and whether crossovers strengthen after the entry. In 2020 the same event produced a 33.9 percent decline in February and a 51.5 percent advance from the Marc
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Sep 1710 min read
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